Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004646 0.005110 0.005610 0.006191 0.006848 0.007572 0.008431
2025-09-21 0.003812 0.004439 0.005165 0.006074 0.007192 0.008534 0.010285
2025-09-28 0.003325 0.004016 0.004853 0.005957 0.007391 0.009220 0.011773
2025-10-05 0.003019 0.003754 0.004679 0.005948 0.007677 0.009998 0.013434
2025-10-12 0.002828 0.003606 0.004618 0.006059 0.008107 0.010989 0.015501
2025-10-19 0.002606 0.003392 0.004441 0.005982 0.008250 0.011574 0.017035
2025-10-26 0.002438 0.003232 0.004319 0.005960 0.008457 0.012261 0.018806
2025-11-02 0.002272 0.003060 0.004163 0.005868 0.008540 0.012752 0.020315
2025-11-09 0.002163 0.002961 0.004099 0.005904 0.008816 0.013572 0.022500
2025-11-16 0.002042 0.002833 0.003983 0.005845 0.008930 0.014129 0.024288
2025-11-23 0.001912 0.002683 0.003822 0.005700 0.008883 0.014397 0.025565
2025-11-30 0.001831 0.002601 0.003758 0.005704 0.009085 0.015124 0.027855
2025-12-07 0.001789 0.002580 0.003792 0.005881 0.009621 0.016558 0.031943
2025-12-14 0.001688 0.002461 0.003663 0.005773 0.009640 0.017024 0.034057
2025-12-21 0.001595 0.002350 0.003539 0.005663 0.009639 0.017445 0.036150
2025-12-28 0.001531 0.002280 0.003477 0.005655 0.009829 0.018275 0.039390
2026-01-04 0.001493 0.002249 0.003478 0.005759 0.010246 0.019639 0.044285
2026-01-11 0.001426 0.002168 0.003388 0.005687 0.010301 0.020221 0.047267
2026-01-18 0.001373 0.002106 0.003328 0.005666 0.010460 0.021055 0.051155
2026-01-25 0.001313 0.002030 0.003237 0.005580 0.010470 0.021545 0.054170
2026-02-01 0.001276 0.001991 0.003210 0.005613 0.010739 0.022693 0.059495
2026-02-08 0.001228 0.001930 0.003140 0.005558 0.010809 0.023358 0.063482
2026-02-15 0.001171 0.001851 0.003034 0.005422 0.010683 0.023510 0.065814